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Trader Mindset

Michael Martin is a trader and instructor. His show deals with the emotional and psychological aspects of trading and managing risk. His book "The Inner Voice of Trading" and features interviews with Michael Marcus, Bill Dunn, and Ed Seykota - who also wrote the Foreword. Get the audio book free at MartinKronicle.com.
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Now displaying: Page 1
Nov 7, 2017

Forget chart patterns and focus on price. Price is the only thing on Wall St. that will tell you truth. 

Every chart pattern will be captured in the price and the values of price over time. You can hire a programmer to capture those price movements and design your own algorithm to enter and exit trades as well as the correct position size. 

Chart patterns are supposedly created by plotting prices over time. Some believe that patterns repeat themselves. Some believe that history doesn't repeat itself in exactly the same manner. 

Human beings are emotional beings, even if they run systems. Even the most grounded and mindful individual has to interpret the chart patterns to "make something out of it." Then they have to figure out where to put on the trade and where to exit.

We are feeble at best and relying on subjective views is not the way of the future. Today, firms are spending tens of millions of dollars on AI and trading platforms to feed off of discretionary traders. It's job security to them.

There will always been someone who thinks they can beat the market by trading things off the top of their heads. Everyone is against you these days. The exchanges, the Broker-Dealers, the trading platforms - they are all the enemy in this day and age. They are encouraging your to make transactions as if making frequent transactions is the key to trading success. It's not. 

Your f*** you money is their Earnings per Share. They look at the quality of your money in a more material way than you do. Don't give it away by making amateur-like decisions. 

Charting is becoming a thing of the past. You have to evolve now so that you'll be in position for the new market that will be in full force in the next two years.  

Sal Arnuk of Themis Trading told me that there are over 2,000 algos and trading rules that are already set to beat you and induce you into sub-optimal and losing trades. That number is growing by the day. 

In the next two years, AI-based trading platforms and exchanges will have a rule to trade against you that says "7 out of 10 times, this guy (you) put this trade on when we pushed the stock by x% in this particular chart pattern. Each time he was good for $0.50 per share to us - minimum was $0.20 and the max was a whopping $1.00 per share. Each time he does this we must trade against him because he is a high, expected value sucker for our setups." So what you think are trade set-ups and reliable chart patterns are really nothing more than trade bait to get you to give over your money. 

 

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