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The Michael Martin Show

Michael Martin is a trader and instructor for MartinKronicle. His show deals with the emotional and psychological aspects of trading and managing risk. Martin's own book is called "The Inner Voice of Trading" and features interviews with Michael Marcus, Bill Dunn, and Ed Seykota - who also wrote the Foreword.
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Now displaying: Page 1
Apr 23, 2018

I've seen too many traders try to trade something on a hunch because they thought earnings were going to be a blowout.

It's much more complicated than that. 

There's the EPS, top-line growth, expenses, one-time charges, and forward-looking statements that get reported. 

I've seen companies beat by $0.02 per share, but the forward-looking statements are bearish or cautious and the stock sells off. 

Trading on hunches is a gamble: you don't know the probabilities nor the expected values. 

If you can't model it, you can't trade it. 

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