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Trader Mindset

Michael Martin is a trader and instructor. His show deals with the emotional and psychological aspects of trading and managing risk. His book "The Inner Voice of Trading" and features interviews with Michael Marcus, Bill Dunn, and Ed Seykota - who also wrote the Foreword. Get the audio book free at MartinKronicle.com.
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Now displaying: 2018
May 21, 2018

In this episode, Michael Martin has a frank discussion about what you need and what you don't need at the beginning of your career. 

In one sense, your job is to survive. That means going slowly and playing superior defense. 

Many traders keep a full-time job to make sure they can pay their bills before going solo. 

May 18, 2018

Michael Martin discusses the "triumvirate" that every trader needs to succeed long-term trading the markets. 

May 17, 2018

In this episode, a reader asks Michael Martin about some of the markets he's trading. 

May 16, 2018

Most allocators know that you are powerless over the markets. But if you tell them the markets you trade, they'll have a good idea of where your performance should come from. 

May 15, 2018

Be mindful of all your trading activity and non-activity. Growing too slowly can be problematic, but so can growing too quickly. 

May 14, 2018

You don't have to double your position to have added to a winning trade. 

Try adding 20% to see how it feels. 

For best results, you'll have to backtest in a simulator to determine the best location and position size for adding to your winners. 

If you believe, like I do, that most markets don't trend and that trends persist, this might be a good tactic for you to look at. 

May 11, 2018

The hardest part of investing (and trading) is knowing when to take profits. In my trading, I'm using systematic exits.

Harder, is when I have a long-term buy and hold in my investment portfolio and I have to let go of a name that I've had for ages. 

See the corresponding video on Disney. 

May 10, 2018

You can create some interesting spreads between weekly and monthly option expirations.

Some traders buy the longer dated options and sell nearer expirations to pay for them. 

Get the MartinKronicle Android App - it's free.

May 9, 2018

There are traders whose sole responsibility is to create alpha in only one sector or in one commodity group. Sometimes, it might be in just one contract such as natural gas, for example. 

Since most markets are not trending, focusing on one sector can be a challenge if there is no direction or trend. Unless you've been trained...

These particular traders have learned to make money in natural gas regardless of the market environment. That ability did not show up overnight and it took a great deal of trial and error in order to understand the shifts between market environments. 

You can get there also, but you have to be willing to run more than one system. 

The key to understanding the context of "diversify" here, is that the trader deploys several systems depending on the market environment. 

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When markets are trending, they're long or short. When volatile and choppy, they have vol crush trades on. When consolidating, they have credit vertical spreads. And when seasonal, they can create calendar spreads in futures. These aren't day traders either. 

You can study the relationships between an underlying security and all the related instruments to find your trading edge. 

Admittedly, some of them have access to the cash commodity markets too, so that gives them many more combinations of relationships to study. 

May 8, 2018

I don't believe there is anything that can be called "advanced trading." Most of the time that I see that expression, it's in marketing literature. 

The best trading rules that make your money are easy to understand and simple to execute. Words like "advanced" are there to feed your ego. 

My take is that if a trader has a strong sense of self, then finding the right trading methodology is easy (or easier). Trading is largely psychological and emotional and the best traders acknowledge who they are and what they can handle, and act accordingly. 

I've said before "if you don't know who you are, then what you know doesn't matter" when it comes to trading. 

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We'll be adding much bonus content that we can't include in a podcast or blog post. Apple iOS version coming soon! 

May 7, 2018

There were times when I invited huge vol to my portfolio. It would run up 20% and then dive-bomb to -20%...that's intraweek!

The portfolio comprised of outright directional trades including long/short futures, debit option trades, and long stocks. 

What I found over time though, was that all this ebb and flow created an equity curve that looked like a heart monitor.

I had to find a way to create positive slope to the curve. That's how we keep score. 

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Moreover, it wasn't about the instruments that I was trading nor the combination of them, but HOW I was trading them.  

Once I determined that my up days and weeks were from a small semblance of skill and not luck, I had to learn to keep the profits that the market was "giving" me. 

Backtesting, I found the optimal points where I had to cut my losses and, more difficult than that, where to take profits without unwinding profitable trades too soon - to me, the hardest trade there is to make. 

In this episode, I remember how I had to make tough decisions around blue-chip names when you're taught that selling them is a sacrilege. (Watch the attached video to see what I mean.)

Our first order of business once we add risk, is to keep losses small. Once I did that in concert with learning tactical ways to take profits, my equity curve took off.

And that's not having to change my orientation to trading, the instruments I traded, nor the timeframes within which I traded.

Those two seemingly small adjustments led to huge gains and I didn't have to do that much to turn this situation around. 

 

May 4, 2018

Frustrated about your trading? Maybe you're fine right where you are and you just have to accept "what is" and take life on life's terms. 

I see this a lot in traders who always want to be somewhere else when they are doing fine right where they are. If this sounds like someone you know, listen in...

May 3, 2018

In this episode, Michael Martin discusses the evolution of your trading rules and system design. 

 

 

May 2, 2018

Although it takes a bit of time and effort, building a systematized set of trading rules is worth it in the long run.

Instead of reading charts to come up with trading ideas subjectively, each evening you'll run your trading rules to generate orders which you'll enter the following morning. 

In this episode, Michael Martin recounts how he developed his original model and how it evolved into what he's doing today in trading and teaching building models and systems. 

May 1, 2018

Start with long-dated Call options and turn them into a Bull Call spread by selling the upper strike when the underlying reverses down. Cover that leg when the vol crashes. 

You can create other structures too, such as condors or butterflies all based upon a core holding of long dated calls. 

Apr 30, 2018

If you put every dollar you have to work, you don't give yourself any room when Murphy's Law kicks in. 

If you keep some dry powder, you'll be able to able to withstand some shocks to the system, as well as have capital to deploy when something falls into your lap.

Apr 27, 2018

Michael Martin interviews options trader and portfolio manager Hari Krishnan on the current environment and how traders can position themselves with options to capture greater profits. 

Krishnan is the author of The 2nd Leg Down: Strategies for Profiting after a Market Sell-Off. 

Apr 26, 2018

Crypto investing is missing some key components that an investor's are used to in trading equities, options, and futures. 

In this episode, Michael Martin discusses what's missing and why you should measure 8 times and cut once in the crypto space. 

Apr 25, 2018

With the likelihood of the fed tightening, investors who rely on certain instruments for income are in a tough spot.

They can use options to transfer the risk and hold their current positions.

Apr 24, 2018

Key inflection points can happen with the fundamentals as well as the technicals. 

Apr 23, 2018

I've seen too many traders try to trade something on a hunch because they thought earnings were going to be a blowout.

It's much more complicated than that. 

There's the EPS, top-line growth, expenses, one-time charges, and forward-looking statements that get reported. 

I've seen companies beat by $0.02 per share, but the forward-looking statements are bearish or cautious and the stock sells off. 

Trading on hunches is a gamble: you don't know the probabilities nor the expected values. 

If you can't model it, you can't trade it. 

Apr 20, 2018

If you believe the adage that "good trading is boring," then system trading is boring to the nth degree. 

There are days, sometimes weeks, that I don't generate an ORDER, never mind a trade. Then there are times when there are so many orders, you have to write them all out first in a general ledger and number the tickets. 

On the flip side, system trading is also very peaceful because I'm able to scan thousands of instruments in less than a minute and not worry that I'm missing out of an opportunity. That is a mental advantage if nothing else.

 

Apr 19, 2018

Focus on your process and stay out of the results - you're powerless over them. 

All you can do is control the "controlables" - that is, your behavior.

 

Apr 18, 2018

Seasonal commodity spreads can be very a reliable type of trade for your portfolio.

While commodities are surely not for everyone, commodity spreads are considered "hedged" because the trader is simultaneously long and short the same commodity but in different expiration months. 

A great source of information on spreads is at Moore Research Center. You can find them on the internet at www.mrci.com

 

Apr 17, 2018

Some investors will test you by asking you questions that are deliberately off the mark.

Stick to you message throughout even if they try to knock you off balance.

You might take a meeting as a CTA and someone interviewing you might say something along the lines of "We're looking to allocate $10MM to a crypto-only portfolio in the next 5 days" when they know you're looking for assets. 

It's ok to laugh at them and say "good luck - I hope there is a short selling component to the model."

Tell them that it's "not terribly wise to make such an allocation on short notice." Most want some fight in the dog. 

Stick to your message and what it is you can do and leave it at that. Otherwise, you'll look amateurish if you're all over the place. 

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